Week 06 FML Recap — Spring Season

Each week Jacob recaps the weekend box office and the winners and losers in the Midnight Warrior Fantasy Movie League.

 

WEEK 06 BOX OFFICE BREAKDOWN

Week 06 was the week of the Man Movie. The knock down drag out fight of the week was going to be between Logan and Kong: Skull Island. Would the aging super hero in the (now) aging super hero film show its value at $57 dollars, or would the big ol’ monkey climb the tower to get that $2 million Best Performer bonus?

I, and many others in our league, banked on the big bad ape, but in the end the Wolverine had what may be his last stand in the Perfect Cineplex. 334 cineplexes were smart enough to stack 6 screens of the old man, and pair it with the young woman in the jumpsuit, and the little baby in the business suit. Powered by the $12 million in bonuses, plus the $5 million PC bonus, this cineplex would net you about $74 million.

FML can be frustrating when your cineplex makes $61 million base without bonuses (like my Beauty and the Beast / 6x Kong Logan cineplex), eclipses the $57 million of the Logan PC, but still misses out due to the bonuses. Yet, that’s the name of the game here, and why you should always chase the best performer bonus every single week.

In our league, Billion Dollar CineplexJon’s Cineplex, and NuttBolz97 all found the Perfect Cineplex, and all take shares of a first place finish. This puts Jon’s Cineplex at the clear number one in the league, and gaining strongly with an $8 million dollar lead on Billion Dollar Cineplex.

Also, we mourn the loss of the “consensus players” who formed a strong pack just out of first place. With nearly everyone having unique picks this week, we have no more block of 6 identical cineplexes clogging up our leaderboard. This means we don’t have to worry about that sticky situation where people tie for first, which is great, because this isn’t soccer, and we hate ties.


WEEK 07 PREDICTIONS

This week, we have only two new releases, but the new hot rod is going to have the blockbuster Fri/Sat/Sun split. Let’s do a rundown of this polar opposite pair of new releases.

  • The Fate of the Furious ($708/$534/$433) – This big budget action fest is going to dominate the box office this weekend, no doubt. It’s big, it’s loud, it’s fast, and it’s going to bring in over $110 million dollars. I’m not great at picking the splits on these movies, because my #alwaysFriday Beauty and the Beast pick put me behind the 8 ball all season. Go with your gut on this one, but unless you’re playing Boss Baby 4 times, you’re going to find one or two screens of F8 up top.
  • Gifted ($38) – Is this like the opposite of a gritty reboot of Logan? Captain America raises a little girl with special abilities and tries to keep outside forces from taking her away. I saw the trailer, and it looked surprisingly good. I don’t know what kind of person is going to see this over F8 this weekend, but apparently I’m not far from that type of person. This could get a good Easter bump since it’s a family film. $38 still seems high, so play at your own risk.

Well, I think Kong still has a little bit left in the tank, even though it just missed the Perfect Cineplex this week and is competing directly against F8. But, with the low low price of $47 bux, and the certain sell-out factor of F8, this could benefit from the “eh, what else is there to see?” crowd. Let’s see that 6x BP bonus!

Think I’m wrong? Think the spill over film is Logan? Tell me all about it on twitter @jakerg23.


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